New Zealand First cost breakdown

Week 6 update:

  • NZ First has announced a permanent $120 a week Working for Families in-work tax credit, costed at $2.4 billion over four years ($1,158 per household). That takes its total past $50 billion, to $51.8 billion, or $25,000 per household.
  • NZ First’s other announcements this week (a fireworks ban, minimum wage rises of at least inflation, and scrapping the accredited working visa) come with no costings.

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New Zealand First has announced $51.8 billion in new spending over the next four years. This is equivalent to $25,000 per household. More than half of this is driven by a single policy: a one-off buyback of Bank of New Zealand.

Economic development
NZ First has not put a figure on the BNZ buyback itself, so we've costed it by applying the NAB profit multiplier (16.19x) to BNZ's reported $1.5 billion net profit for the year to September 2025 — arriving at $24.3 billion — plus a 10% premium, for a total of $26.7 billion.

NZ First's other major economic development commitment is its flagship $100 billion, 30-year infrastructure fund. Spread evenly over 30 years, the four-year share of this comes to $13.3 billion, taking the party's own costings at face value. The party has also pledged a one-off $15 million grant towards restoring Christchurch Cathedral, addressing what it says is a $45 million shortfall, and wants electricity gentailers to separate their retail and generation arms — a change we've costed at $273 million, based on the 2011/12 Telecom/Chorus break-up cost, adjusted for inflation and doubled to reflect the added complexity. The party has also committed $1 billion to a subsurface development survey, taken from its own costings. Altogether, NZ First's economic development commitments total $41.3 billion over four years.

Government services and administration
The largest item is $6.3 billion to lift the Government's own KiwiSaver contribution as an employer, which we've calculated by applying a 4.5 percentage point increase (from 3.5% to 8%) to the Government's $35 billion wages and salaries bill. NZ First has also committed $16.6 million to hold a referendum on the Māori seats and $15.4 million for a COVID-19 vaccine inquiry, both costed against comparable past referenda and Royal Commissions of Inquiry. Government services and administration commitments total $6.3 billion.

Social spending
NZ First's Kiwi Kids Grant is costed at $1.6 billion over four years, taking the party's own figures at face value. A related $1,000 KiwiSaver kick-start for every newborn, based on 60,000 births a year, adds a further $240 million. New Zealand First estimate their 'Superannuation for citizens only' policy might save $2.1 billion.

NZ First’s Working for Families announcement would make the temporary $50 a week in-work tax credit boost permanent and lift it to $120 a week. The party estimates the cost at $500 million to $600 million a year. We have used the top of that range, which comes to $2.4 billion over four years, or $1,158 per household.

NZ First's 'Make New Zealand Healthy' policy package was completely uncosted by the party. We estimate this to cost $2.1 billion over four years, or $1,019 per household. A breakdown of these policies can be found below.

Social spending commitments overall total $4.1 billion.

(t) policies where we’ve taken parties’ costings at face value.
(o) uncosted policies that we have had to cost ourselves.
(d) policies where we have disputed parties’ own costings.

New Zealand First Policy Annual ($m) Four-Year Cost ($m) Per Household ($)
Social Spending      
Kiwi Kids Grant (t) 400 1,600 772
$1,000 KiwiSaver at birth (o) 60 240 116
Superannuation for citizens only (t) - -2,140 -1,033
10-year welfare stand-down (o) - -68 -33
Make New Zealand healthy (o) - - -
>Independent review of dietary guidelines (o) - 0.2 0
>Better ways to acknowledge nurses (o) - 1,860 897
>Fund NZ scientists to assess nutritional interventions (o) - 4 2
>Intravenous vitamin C trials (o) - 1 1
>Review optimal vitamin D levels (o) - 0.2 0
>Invest in agriculture to improve productivity and sustainability (o) - 246 119
Working for families uplift (t) 600 2,400 1,158
  Total 4,143  2,000 
Economic Development      
Subsurface Development Survey (t) - 1,000 483
Buy back BNZ (one-off) (d) - 26,695 12,884
$100b infrastructure fund (over 30 years) (t) 3,333 13,333 6,435
Christchurch Cathedral (one-off) (t) - 15 7
Energy - separate retail and generator arms (o) - 273 132
  Total 41,316  19,940 
Government Services/Administration      
Referendum on Maori Seats (o) - 16.6 8
KiwiSaver cost as Government as employer (o) 1,577 6,308 3,044
COVID vaccine inquiry (o) - 15.4 7
  Total 6,340  3,060 
  Grand Total 51,799 25,000

 

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