NEW POLL: Labour's highest result in 17 months, National also bounce back in Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll

The latest Taxpayers’ Union-Curia poll for November shows National up 3.9 points on October’s poll to 38.8%, while Labour gained 1.2 points to 31.5%. This represents a rebound for National from last month and the highest result for Labour in 17 months.

The Greens are down 1.1 points to 9.3%, while ACT are down 1.2 points to 8.5%.New Zealand First is down 1.1 points to 6.5%, while Te Pāti Māori are down 0.5 points to 2.5%.

The full poll results can be found here on the Taxpayers' Union's website here at https://www.taxpayers.org.nz/poll_nov2024_cutunz

For the minor parties, Outdoors and Freedom are on 1.3% (up 0.8 points), whilst the combined total for other parties is 1.7%.

This month's results are compared to the last Taxpayers' Union – Curia poll conducted in October 2024, available at https://www.taxpayers.org.nz/oct2024_poll

Based on these results, National are up four seats on the last poll to 48, while Labour gains one to 39 seats.

The Greens are down two seats to 11 while ACT is down one to 11 seats. New Zealand First are down one seat to 8 from the last poll, while Te Pāti Māori remains on 6.

The combined projected seats for the Centre-Right is up two from the last poll to 67. The combined seats for the Centre-Left is down one to 56.

On these numbers, National and ACT would require the support of New Zealand First to form a government. This calculation assumes that all electorate seats are held.

A summary of the results, including preferred Prime Minister scores, are available on our website here: https://www.taxpayers.org.nz/poll_nov2024_cutunz

Major Voting Issues – Appearance in Top Three

The Taxpayers’ Union is again publicly releasing the results of the “Major Voting Issue – Top 3” – which suggests that voters consider the Cost of Living the most important issue. The number of voters putting Health in their top 3 has dropped significantly.

37.9% of respondents named the Cost of Living as one of their top three issues (up 1.4 points), followed by the Economy more generally at 31.1% (down 2.6 points) and Health at 27.4% (down 8.1 points), Law and Order at 19.1%, Education at 18.0% and Treaty at 16.9%.

Get the full report – join the Taxpayer Caucus

As part of the same poll, favourability data for party leaders and other notable politicians is collected monthly. This month, results were obtained for Labour’s Finance Spokesperson, Barbara Edmonds, and Willie Jackson as well as Labour’s Leader, the Prime Minister, and the coalition parties’ leaders. All of these results are detailed in the full Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll report made available exclusively to members of the Taxpayer Caucus