NEW POLL: Net country direction drops, centre-right could still form a Government.
NEW POLL: Net country direction drops, centre-right could still form a Government.
The latest Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll shows the Government Coalition once again able to form a Government, despite net country direction falling ten points.
The poll, conducted between 30 April and 04 May shows National gain 1.1 points on last month to 34.6 percent, while Labour jump 3.4 points to 33.2 percent.
ACT is down 0.5 points to 9.5 percent, whilst the Greens are down 1.9 points to 9.1 percent. New Zealand First remains unchanged on 7.4 percent, while Te Pāti Māori is down 0.4 points to 3.9 percent.
Headline results and more information about the methodology can be found on the Taxpayers' Union's website at www.taxpayers.org.nz/polling_may07_2025tucur
For the minor parties, TOP is on 0.5 percent (-1.0 point), Outdoors and Freedom is on 0.4 percent (-0.6 points), and Vision NZ is on 0.4 percent (+0.4 points).
This month's results are compared to the last Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll conducted in April 2025, available here at www.taxpayers.org.nz/tucur_04_aprpoll2025
The combined projected seats for the Centre-Right of 63 is down 1 seat from last month. The combined seats for the Centre-Left is up 1 seat to 58. On these numbers, the Centre-Right bloc could form a Government.
National remains on 42 seats again this month, whilst Labour is up 4 seats to 41. ACT is down 1 seat to 12, whilst the Greens are down 3 seats to 11. New Zealand First remains on 9 seats, while Te Pāti Māori remains on 6.
With 33.3 percent (-8.5 points) saying the country is headed in the right direction and 46.0 percent (+1.8 points) in the wrong direction, net country direction has fallen 10.3 points this month to -12.7 percent.
Commenting on the results, Taxpayers’ Union Spokesman James Ross said:
"The same week the Hīkoi to Balance the Budget showed Government debt blow past $190 billion, net country direction dropped more than ten percent. If that's not a sign Kiwis want Nicola to balance the books, what is?"
"With each household's share of the debt at $93,500 and counting, Kiwis can't look the other way until the Government get their fiscal ducks in a row."
"Across the ditch, another centre-right party just blew their election chances by failing to present a credible fiscal plan. If National doesn’t get serious about fixing the books, the risk is the same here.
"Budget 2025 is only a fortnight away. Nicola Willis needs to give Kiwis what they need and finally put the debt clock into reverse."
MEDIA SUMMARY STATEMENT
Any media or other organisation that reports on this poll should include the following summary statement:
The poll was conducted by Curia Market Research Ltd for the NZ Taxpayers’ Union. It is a random poll of 1,000 adult New Zealanders and is weighted to the overall adult population. It was conducted by phone (landlines and mobile) and online between Wednesday 30 April and Sunday 04 May 2025. It has a maximum margin of error of +/- 3.1%.