NEW POLL: More bad news for Centre-Right as Government parties drop in support

National is down on last month to 37.1% (-0.3 points) while Labour is up slightly to 25.7% (+0.4 points). The Greens take third place on 14.6% (+3.3 points) while ACT drops back to 7.2% (-2.8 points).

The smaller parties are NZ First on 6.3% (-1.1 points) and Te Pāti Māori on 4.6% (+2.1 points). 

For the minor parties, TOP is on 1.6%, Outdoors and Freedom is on 1.5%, Democracy NZ is on 0.3%, Vision NZ is on 0.2%, New Conservatives are on 0.2%, and the others combined were on 0.8%

This month's results are compared to the last month's Taxpayers' Union – Curia poll.

National is down one seat on last month to 47 while Labour is steady on 32. The Greens continue to rise, now on 18 seats (up three), while ACT has fallen to 9 seats (down four). NZ First is down one seat to 8 while Te Pāti Māori is unchanged on 6 seats. 

The combined projected seats for the Centre-Right of 64 seats is down six from last month while the Centre-Left has increased by three to 56 seats. 

On these numbers, National and ACT would require the support of NZ First to form a government. Given the higher vote for Te Pāti Māori in this poll, Parliament would have no overhang seats.

Christopher Luxon’s net favourability is down 2 points on last month to -7% while Chris Hipkins’s score is down 8 points to -6%. This is the first time a Labour leader has had a negative net favourability in the Taxpayers’ Union – Curia Poll. David Seymour is down 3 points to -11% while Winston Peters is down 6 points to -18%. 

More detailed results, including voters' top three issues, as well as National's lead over Labour on key voting topics are available on our website.