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It has been another busy week in politics. While the Prime Minister has been away in China, his Ministers have continued to cause him problems at home. Having already lost three Ministers in the last few months, he will have been relieved to hear that the Privileges Committee found Minister of Education, Jan Tinetti, not guilty of contempt of Parliament. Instead it found that her incorrect statement to the House on the publication of school attendance data was simply due to "a high degree of negligence". Well that's ok then!
On Tuesday, the Environment Select Committee dropped its reports on the two bills with which the Government proposes to replace the Resource Management Act (RMA). The reports setting out the Committee's recommended amendments total a staggering 1,377 pages – longer than the entire Lord of the Rings trilogy!
While we are still working through the detail of these reports, from what we've seen, this revised version of the bills is even worse than the original. With hundreds of amendments to work through and just two months left before Parliament rises, it is simply inexcusable to seek to rush through such a fundamental and radical change to the planning system. We called on the Government to go back out to consultation, but David Parker told Heather du Plessis-Allan he had no intention of doing so.
In better news, our campaign to raise awareness about these reforms seems to be having an impact. Taxpayers’ Union – Curia polling undertaken last month showed strong public opposition. 48% of respondents believed that planning rules should be set by local councils compared with just 26% who preferred that these rules be set by the proposed regional planning committees. 26% of respondents were unsure.
As with Three Waters, our roadshow tour has strengthened the positions of opposition parties. After previously only having committed to amend any replacement to the RMA that the Government might pass before the election, this week the National Party joined ACT in committing to repeal. The Greens also dissented in the Select Committee report, which is why Labour wants to ram this through before it loses its majority at the election. To help us put a stop to that, chip in to the fighting fund here.
The search for the purpose of the New Zealand Space Agency continues, and most recently, it took the form of a sky-high junket for two staff members in the USA.
The Ministry of Business, Innovation, and Employment (MBIE) treated some of New Zealand's Space Agency staff to business-class flights to Washington DC, costing $31,000. They attended the 25th Annual Federal Aviation Administration Commercial Space Transportation Conference (no, we don't know it either).
But the trip wasn't just about the conference itself. Oh no, MBIE officials decided to extend their stay for a leisurely five days. The conference itself lasted only two days. The officials enjoyed the luxurious Grand Hyatt Washington Hotel, incurring a bill exceeding $5,500. Nice 'work' if you can get it!
MBIE defended the business-class tickets and the length of trip, claiming they were "in line with policy." Seems like a very tone-deaf policy during a cost-of-living crisis.
We say it's time MBIE focused on its actual responsibilities instead of squandering our hard-earned cash on justifying the existence of our Space Agency.
On the Common Room this week, our Co-founder, David Farrar, discussed media bias in New Zealand.
The makeup of New Zealand's media landscape with very few centre-right media outlets is causing New Zealanders to lose trust in media. We know from research and scientific polling that journalists who classify their political ideology as left-leaning outnumber those who classify themselves as right-leaning by 5 to 1 – a stark contrast to the New Zealand population.
David also examines the controversial Public Interest Journalism Fund (PIJF). While media outlets receiving taxpayer funds are keen to stress that this does not bias their reporting, our public polling shows that most New Zealanders believe government funding undermines media independence – something that is in itself harmful even if the funding has no real influence at all.
As the fund is wrapping up (although some projects will remain funded until 2026) we have created a list of the top recipients of the PIJF since its inception.
Watch David’s video over on The Common Room here.
You might remember the open letter from last month signed by various wealthy people, celebrities, and former civil servants that called for higher taxes. The letter began with "We write as people who are frustrated with how much tax we pay. We want to pay more".
We were concerned with how distressing not paying enough tax must be for these individuals so your humble Taxpayers’ Union kindly wrote to them with details on how they could make an additional contribution to the Government's coffers by making a donation into the Crown Treasury bank account.
A month on, we checked in with Treasury to see how many millions had been generously deposited by these virtuous benefactors. We were shocked to discover that not a single person who said they wanted to pay more had made a contribution. Not even one.
These champagne socialists clearly weren't prepared to put their money where their mouths were. As we said at the time, we all agree that good public services are important, but there is so much Government waste that needs to be cut back, that tax rises are simply unjustifiable.
I hope you managed to catch our advert in yesterday's New Zealand Herald on Grant Robertson's latest action to clean out your wallet. As of today, the Government hikes petrol tax by 29 cents/L, Road User Charges by (at least) 55%, alcohol taxes by 6.6%, and the ute tax by up to $1,725.
The cost of living crisis has been driven by the cost of government crisis. Government spending is out of control and has forced the Reserve Bank to hike interest rates, which will compound the pain for families needing to renew their mortgages.
This unnecessary cash grab will be used to fund nice-to-haves such as fancy new Teslas for the already well off, loss-making railways, and barely used cycleways. Hardworking families, farmers and tradies are being forced to subsidize the lifestyles of better-off city residents.
These tax hikes are completely avoidable if the Government can bring itself to stop wasting other people’s hard-earned money.
Thank you for your support.
Yours aye,
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Media coverage:
Newshub Indefensible, or necessary? The tool to solve health inequities that turned into a political football
Stuff David Farrar: Labour's spending 60% more on health for longer waiting times and fewer surgeries
Fed Talks Restoring Farmer Confidence: Feds' General Election Platform 2023 (17:52)
Rural News Farmers need less red tape, not handouts
With the support of hundreds of supporters like you, we managed to secure a four-page lift-out in the NZ Herald this week to coincide with the final day on our 'Hands Off Our Homes: Stop Central Planning Committees' roadshow.
View a high-res image of the ad here
David Parker's reforms would strip democratic control over resource allocation and planning decisions from local councils and place them in the hands of unelected, co-governed central planning committees.
The Government has learnt its lesson from Three Waters and isn't spending millions of taxpayer dollars on TV adverts (or otherwise talking about what they are doing) this time. Our main objective with the nationwide roadshow tour was to raise awareness about these reforms and explain to New Zealanders what these radical changes will mean for them.
Over the coming weeks we will continue to expose Minister Parker's Soviet-style central planning committees for what they are and make it a major political thorn in the Government's side as we head towards October's election.
We can only force this matter onto the political agenda with people power. If you haven't already, please take a moment to add your name to the petition opposing these undemocratic reforms.
Not content with ripping away democratic control of water infrastructure and planning powers from local councils, a Government-appointed panel this week released their final report into the future of local government.
As we predicted, the report advocates for even more centralisation and removal of local voice and democratic accountability from decision making. The report recommends reorganizing local government with "the resource management reform boundaries as a starting point for discussions". 😳
This would amount to a mass amalgamation of New Zealand's councils further reducing the ratepayers' ability to engage in the democratic process.
New Zealand is one of the most highly centralized countries in the world. Just a tenth of government expenditure is delivered through our councils. And those councils are extremely large by international comparisons. Auckland's Super City is a prime example of bigger not being better – rather than save money it's led to more managers, more layers of bureaucracy, and much higher rates.
This Review presented a great opportunity to fix the issues in local councils and put power closer to the people, Instead it has focussed on identity politics and public sector gimmicks like citizens’ assemblies and "participatory budgeting". And the only structural reforms it proposes would likely see more centralizations and a further undermining of democratic accountability.
New Zealanders aren’t interested in nebulous concepts like embedding a wellbeing focus in local government – they want to see high quality services delivered at a local level for the lowest rates possible. That means small, democratically accountable, powerful local councils where local people have the opportunity every three years to kick out politicians who aren’t performing.
At the end of this month, in the middle of a cost of living crisis, taxpayers up and down New Zealand will be slapped with four new tax increases, so get ready as Grant Robertson is coming for your wallet.
On 1 July, the following taxes are increasing:
🛑 Petrol excise by 29 cents/litre (including GST)
🛑 Road user charges by 56%
🛑 Ute tax by up to $1,725
🛑 Alcohol tax by 6.6%
Worse still, all four tax increases will have a disproportionately large impact on rural and poorer households.
Cost of living crisis? What cost of living crisis?
The fuel excise and diesel road user charge increases will punish those who often don't have any other choice but to drive either due to where they live or the nature of their work.
Similarly, the ute tax will slam hard-working farmers and tradies who simply don't have any other option but to drive a ute – for them, they are tools of the trade. This increase is particularly cruel for those who lost vehicles in the recent flooding and will now have to pay up to $6,900 in tax just to replace a damaged work vehicle.
And where does this money go? To subsidize those in the cities (where public transport is an option) so they can buy themselves a new Tesla.
Tens of thousands of New Zealanders have already signed our petition calling for the ute tax to be scrapped. You can sign the petition here.
After all those tax hikes, you may need a beer or two to relax but, after a 6.9% alcohol excise hike last year, it's going up a further 6.6% this year too! Cheers.
David Parker’s Tax Principles Bill faced scrutiny at Select Committee last week, and of course your humble Taxpayers’ Union was there to give them a piece of taxpayers’ minds.
Scores of interested parties turned up to rip holes in this bill, which if nothing else shows one thing: Despite David Parker’s protestations that his 7 ‘principles’ were universally agreed upon fact, clearly they are little more than the preferences of one man and his lackeys.
For instance, take the Government’s attempt to enshrine in law the idea that tax systems must be progressive. Our economist, Ray Deacon, made the point that “there is no reason why a flat tax applied across all income levels, with an appropriately structured system of transfer payments, cannot achieve the goals that a progressive tax system is aiming for.” As it happens, even the Inland Revenue Department agrees with us!
Many of these "principles" would screw the scrum by shutting down democratic debate on our tax system by claiming Labour's opinions are objective fact and handing the power to dictate tax policy to an unelected Commissioner. If these principles are universal, Minister Parker must live in a different universe to us.
In our written submission, we suggested that the bill be withdrawn or, at the very least, should be reworked to be based on the Tax Foundation's Principles of Sound Tax Policy.
Ray also suggested that it would be more appropriate to rename the proposal as the Tax Preferences Bill. At least then the Government would be honest in their intentions. You can watch our submission here.
In our last update, we called for Michael Wood's resignation over his failure to appropriately manage his conflict of interest as Minister of Transport while owning shares in Auckland Airport. Our petition has since gathered thousands of signatures.
It subsequently emerged that Wood had undeclared financial interest in a number of other areas that conflicted with his Ministerial responsibilities. It was also revealed that Minister Wood was contacted 16 times by the Cabinet Office to sell his shares, not just the 12 times that had previously been stated. For multiple breaches of disclosure requirements as bad as this, Prime Minister Hipkins shouldn't have given Wood the opportunity to resign and should have sacked him instead!
This is a significant victory for taxpayers and one we care deeply about – accountability is one of the three key pillars of our mission. All taxpayers are entitled to expect that Ministers appropriately manage conflicts of interest and are, well, honest. Democracies can only function properly when the public has confidence that Ministers' personal financial interests aren't influencing decisions.
When Ministers fail to uphold high standards of transparency and accountability, public trust in Government is eroded and it lowers the bar for what is considered acceptable conduct by future Ministers. Hipkins has yet to rule out Wood's return to the Cabinet table in a future Government. We say this should be the end of Mr Wood's political career.
We welcome the announcement that work is underway to improve Cabinet's systems for managing conflicts of interest, we can only hope that this yields more accountability rather than just another box-ticking exercise.
Thank you for your support.
Yours aye,
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Media coverage:
The Spinoff New poll points to National-Act government despite bump for Greens
NZ Herald Political poll: National, Act could form Government
Stuff National and ACT could form government, according to latest poll
RNZ New poll shows National, ACT keeping edge ahead of Labour
Politik Collins paves the way
The Working Group with David Farrar, Raf Manji and Damien Grant
Newstalk ZB Afternoon Edition: 14 June 2023 (02:08)
NZ Herald Te Pāti Māori coalition a drag on Labour - poll
Otago Daily Times Council won't pay for statue: mayor
Newstalk ZB THE RE-WRAP: Gang Gaslighting Continues (07:09)
NZ Herald Will a recession lose Labour the election? PM Chris Hipkins, Grant Robertson respond
Otago Daily Times Poll: mayor should stay, not chief exec
The Press Govt told capital gains tax is not a ‘universally accepted’ taxation principle
NZ Local Government Magazine Reactions to Local Government Review report
The Platform David Farrar on the DIA making unauthorised changes to the Three Waters bill
interest.co.nz A super-majority of voters want to fix tax bracket creep but only two political parties agree
Exclusively for our supporters like you, here are the results of June's Taxpayers’ Union – Curia Poll:
National is unchanged from last month on 36% while Labour drops 1 point to 33%. ACT is also unchanged on 13% while the Greens are up 3 points to 10%.
The smaller parties are the Māori Party 3.5% (-0.2 points), NZ First on 1.6% (-1 point), New Conservatives on 1.3% (-0.3 points), Democracy NZ on 0.9% (+0.6 points), and TOP on 0.8% (-0.9 points).
Here is how these results would translate to seats in the 120-seat Parliament, assuming all electorate seats are held:
National is unchanged on last month on 46 seats while Labour is down 2 seats to 42. ACT remains constant on 16 seats while the Greens pick up 3 seats to a total of 12. The Māori Party is down 1 seat on last month to 4.
The combined projected seats for the Centre Right of 62 seats is unchanged on last month and would allow them to form a government.
Following National's decision to rule out working with the Māori Party, we are now including their seats in the Centre-Left bloc. Given that the Green gains have come at the expense of Labour and the Māori Party, the Centre Left's total is unchanged on last month at 58 seats.
Net favourability is a measure of the number people who have a favourable view of a politician minus those who have an unfavourable view. A positive score means more people have a favourable view of someone than unfavourable while a negative rating means the reverse.
Chris Hipkins drops 3 points to a net favourability of +19%. While still some way behind the Prime Minister, Christopher Luxon jumps 5 points for a net favourability rating of -2%.
David Seymour has a net favourability of -4% (+7 points) while Māori Party co-leaders, Rawiri Waititi and Debbie Ngarewa-Packer, have net favourability ratings of -26% and -27%, respectively.
Among undecided voters, it is now an effective tie in the net favourability stakes between the two candidates for Prime Minister as Chris Hipkins drops 36 points to -6% while Christopher Luxon increases 19 points to -7%. David Seymour has the highest net favourability among undecided voters of those politicians we included of +5%.
Visit our website for more information and details of how to get access to the full polling report.
Our Hands Off Our Homes: Stop Central Planning Committees roadshow is well under way. We’re traversing the length and breadth of the country from Invercargill to Whangārei to raise awareness about the Government's latest power grab. By increasing the profile of this issue, we are putting pressure on the Government to scrap these undemocratic reforms.
And we have already made some progress.
We invited all Members of Parliament, mayors and councillors to come along and listen to voters' concerns about these reforms and give their own view about the proposals. On the very first day of our roadshow, I received an email from Minister Parker where he refused to attend one of our events as they were, apparently, "political grandstanding".
While he clearly wasn't interested in hearing what New Zealanders think, he did confirm a Government back down.
Under his original plans, these reforms would have given the new National Māori Entity the ability to monitor and issue directions to the Minister and all bodies acting under these new laws, including the Environment Court. This prompted an unprecedented intervention from the Chief Justice, Dame Helen Winkelmann, who said such an approach was "inconsistent with New Zealand's constitutional arrangements".
In his email, Minister Parker announced that the Government would remove National Māori Entity oversight of the Environment Court. This simply goes to show that our efforts are already making a difference. Everyone who signs and shares our petition, or comes along to one of our roadshow events, or buys a banner or yard sign, is applying pressure on the Government.
It is a small step in the right direction, but we will continue to ramp up our campaign. These planning reforms are so bad that they must be withdrawn and the Government must go back to the drawing board.
Here at the Taxpayers' Union, we believe that excessive regulation is holding New Zealand back. Red tape hampers productivity and growth by putting costly and unnecessary barriers in the way of working, operating a business, or making improvements to your property.
But unlike tax and spend policies, the introduction of new regulations often receives little scrutiny. The current lack of careful analysis often leads to the implementation of unworkable rules, which in turn produce unintended consequences. In many cases, the costs associated with such regulations far outweigh any potential benefits they may bring.
Last weekend, ACT announced a policy to create a new Ministry for Regulation run by a minister responsible for subjecting proposals for new regulations to the same level of scrutiny we give to public spending. The Minister would also have the responsibility of reviewing existing regulations to see whether those that are unnecessarily burdensome can be scrapped.
We are generally cautious of proposals to create a new Ministry – there are far too many already – but we believe that this may be one of the few exceptions. Too often cost/benefit analyses can be a tick-box exercise, but having a Minister specifically charged with casting a critical eye over new and existing regulations will ensure that preventing and reducing unnecessary red tape will be given the priority it requires.
At the time of writing, Michael Wood remains a Minister and has only been temporarily relieved of his transport portfolio. In the unlikely event that you missed it, Michael Woodhouse failed to declare his financial conflict of interest in Auckland Airport despite being the minister responsible for rules around aviation and the wasteful Auckland Light Rail to the airport.
While the story is news to the public, it apparently isn't to Michael Wood. Two-and-a-half years ago, he was instructed by the Cabinet Office to sell his shares to ensure that his financial interest would not influence his decision making. Despite assurances that he would do so, Minister Wood only just sold his shares this week after the story appeared on the front page of the NZ Herald.
And this wasn't just a case of the Minister being careless and forgetting to sell the shares after a single reminder. The Cabinet Office told him to sell the shares not once, not twice, but a staggering twelve times. On at least one occasion, the Minister actually told the Jacinda Ardern's office that the shares had been sold despite this being demonstrably false. In addition, we now know that Minister Wood mislead the media, in response to a question from Newsroom about the accuracy of his interests register decorations.
Call us old fashioned, but we remember when Labour Ministers were sacked (or forced to quit) for lying to the media, let alone, the Prime Minister. Just ask Lianne Dalziel...
We say it is simply untenable for Michael Wood to remain a Minister. Chris Hipkins should have taken swift action to remove Wood from office immediately to send a clear signal that this type of conduct is unacceptable. This demonstrates a lack of respect to New Zealanders who expect our MPs – and Ministers especially – to be transparent (and honest).
As the Prime Minister isn't taking decisive action, we have set up a petition calling on Michael Wood to do the honourable thing and resign. You can add your name here.
Thank you for your support.
Yours aye,
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Media coverage:
NZ Herald On the Tiles: Episode 54 – The challenges facing National pre-election (01:51)
Stuff Where is the Green Party at for the upcoming election campaign?
TVNZ Donations, voting age: Panel recommends sweeping election changes
Wairarapa Times-Age Groups link up to oppose RMA plan
whatsoninvers.nz Huge Response In Southland To Hands Off Homes Roadshow
Otago Daily Times Mayor's comments on media funding labelled ignorant
The News Addressing the people
Southland Times Gore District Council chief executive breaks his silence on bullying claims
On Monday, we kicked off our nationwide tour to Stop Central Planning Committees in Christchurch and the team are currently working their way down the South Island – tonight we are jointly hosting an event with Federated Farmers at 6pm at the Invercargill Workingmen's Club (details of all the events are on our website here).
Make no mistake, David Parker's replacement to the Resource Management Act will make resource consenting even harder. While Three Waters was about taking control of community assets — to put into centralized, co-governed entities — these bills are about taking control of planning laws and what you can do with your home, your property, or your farm — taking the control away from democratically elected councils to put them in 15 centralized, co-governed, so-called 'Regional Planning Committees'.
The effects will be dramatic. As a voter, you will no longer be able to hold to account the decision makers who will determine what you can produce on your farm, build on your property, or how your community is planned. The Federated Farmers and the Taxpayers' Union are no fans of the current Resource Management Act, but David Parker's new regime will make getting a resource consent much, much harder.
Unlike Three Waters, the Government isn't talking about these bills or making the public aware of what it is doing. That's why we've taken to the road.
Thanks to everyone who has come along to our events so far. Check out this video from Star News to see what we have been up to.
You can learn more about the proposed reforms at www.HandsOffOurHomes.nz
You can find our full itinerary at www.taxpayers.org.nz/roadshow
We look forward to meeting you on the road.
To be fair to David Parker, he has certainly been keeping busy (and keeping us busy!). Not content with trying to ram through undemocratic planning laws to replace the RMA, he's also been continuing his long-standing campaign to radically change our tax system.
His pet project report that was published several weeks ago used an extremely wide definition of economic income – including things like unrealized capital gains – to suggest that wealthier New Zealanders were not paying their fair share of tax and make the case for higher taxes. Despite the Prime Minister quickly ruling out a capital gains tax or wealth tax in this term, David Parker got his way with the trustee tax rate.
In the budget, Grant Robertson announced that the rate would rise from 33 to 39 percent from 1 April next year. This won't just affect the wealthiest David Parker says he is targeting. There are around 400,000 trusts in New Zealand, but only 9,000 have an income of more than $180,000 and they may be able to pay the 28 percent rate by leaving more money in company structures.
This will be yet another tax hike on families who legitimately use trusts to protect assets such as their homes and small businesses. On average, each trust will pay an extra $1,260 each year. So much for 'no new taxes'...
The budget was also a bitter disappointment for people across New Zealand who are struggling with the cost of living. The increased deficit will drive inflation further and forced the Reserve Bank to hike interest rates yet again, which will be felt be those looking to renew their mortgages.
And what did Kiwis get in return? Not a lot. The removal of the $5 prescription charge, 'free' childcare for 2-year-olds while not addressing the lack of staff, and a large subsidy for the gaming industry. What people really desperately need is some tax relief.
And it seems most New Zealanders agree. A new poll out on Sunday encouragingly showed that more than half of voters think that now is the right time to introduce tax cuts.
Chris Hipkins protests that tax cuts now would be inflationary while conveniently ignoring the inflationary effects of Grant Robertson's larger deficit. Tax cuts would only drive inflation if not matched by spending cuts. Scrapping the $2.8 million campaign to tell us to take shorter showers would be a good place to start...
For all the talk of focussing on the cost of living and supporting those who are struggling, Labour's congress last weekend announced anything but. Despite previously acknowledging that the retirement age of 65 is unaffordable, Labour committed to keep it in place and the so-called 'winter energy payment'.
The Universal Winter Energy Payment for retirees isn't even that popular. A Taxpayers' Union – Curia poll from earlier this month found that 58 percent of New Zealanders supported targeting the payments to those superannuitants on lower incomes. Only 30 percent opposed targeting.
Making handouts universal means working class taxpayers pay more for the better off to heat their pools. New Zealanders can see through the spin and understand that this is not a good use of taxpayer money. Support should be targeted to those people who are most in need.
Here at the Taxpayers' Union, we believe that decisions are best made as close to the people they affect as possible. More often than not that means getting the Government to stop interfering with our lives full stop, but sometimes it means taking decisions in our communities rather than letting them be taken by politicians in Wellington.
The problem is that too often the real power in our councils doesn't rest with mayors and councillors but instead is in the hands of unelected officials. We have seen these problems come into sharp focus in Gore where a longstanding council chief executive seems to be unwilling to work with their new democratically elected mayor.
I faced similar challenge serving as a councillor in Scotland where unelected officials would use all manner of ways to obstruct the wishes of democratically elected representatives and, ultimately, of the voters. Writing in the Otago Daily Times, I explain why this issue is such a problem for our local democracy.
Thank you for your support.
Yours aye,
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Media coverage:
Rural News Expensive pet food!
NZ City Latest polling has National's support once again overtaking Labour's
NZ Herald Taxpayers’ Union-Curia poll: National and Act could govern alone; Labour down but Hipkins more popular than Luxon
Stuff National and Act could form government, new Taxpayers’ Union Curia poll suggests
The Spinoff National moves ahead of Labour in new poll
RNZ Taxpayers Union-Curia poll points towards National-ACT government
RNZ The Panel with Ali Jones and Jeremy Elwood (Part One) (11:44)
Te Ao Māori News Poll: National + Act coalition could fly
The Daily Blog BREAKING: New Taxpayers Union Poll – ACT soar to victory while Greens stall!
Newstalk ZB Barry Soper: ZB senior political correspondent on Chris Luxon ruling out working with Te Pāti Māori after the general election
The Working Group with David Seymour, Matthew Hooton & Damien Grant
Newstalk ZB David Seymour: Act leader says a vote for Act prevents a National govt that campaigns from the right and governs from the left
Newstalk ZB Aaron Dahmen: Te Pāti Māori's glee has been palpable over the last few days
NZ Herald Herald’s poll of polls shows Christopher Luxon’s big gamble
NBR Political jockeying, budget pressures, election race
Kiwiblog Bet you none of them have paid additional tax?
Gisborne Herald Sentiment might be shifting again
Gone by Lunchtime Coalitions, coronations and chaos
Newstalk ZB Friday Faceoff: Josie Pagani and Peter Dunne (24:16)
RNZ Week in Politics: Te Pāti Māori in spotlight as Luxon paints a picture of 'chaos'
Indian Newslink Labour and National stay in close fight, not their leaders
The Press It's time to drop the 5% MMP threshold and let more smaller parties into Parliament
Rotorua Now New political poll: Main parties in a tight race
Newstalk ZB Kerre Woodham: I don't think it's unreasonable to have a co-analysis of any government programme
InfraNews Campaign launched against ‘undemocratic’ RMA reform
The Post Callum Purves: If the Government really wants to tackle cost of living, it needs to kick its spending habit
The Spinoff Free prescriptions an ‘important step forward’ – Greens
Indian Newslink Labour’s populist budget of relief brings a few surprises
Stuff Trustee tax increase 'is response to spike in trust use to avoid tax'
RNZ Political opponents take aim at Budget 2023: 'Blowout', 'broke', 'Budget for the rich'
Stuff The no frills, higher bills Budget
Feds News Federated Farmers launches nine-stop RMA rural roadshow
The Spinoff Five very similar polls, three very different results
NZ Herald On the Tiles: Episode 54 – Post-Budget, post-polls, and post-housing u-turns (02:51)
Stuff Janet Wilson: National should be doing better in the polls, but it's not happening
Otago Daily Times Callum Purves: Spotlight on power imbalance
Star News Taxpayers Union trying to halt RMA reforms
whatsoninvers.nz Taxpayers' Union Launches Nationwide Hands Off Our Homes! Roadshow
The Working Group with Ruth Richardson, Bernard Hickey and Damien Grant
The Common Room NZ "Co-governance for your deck!"
Callum and I are just out of the Beehive bunker where we’ve spent the morning poring over Grant Robertson’s sixth budget with media and analysts before it is delivered in Parliament.
Summary: nothing big bang spending wise other than free ECE for 2-year-olds. Tax hikes for those with trusts, and at the fuel pump. The economic news is better than had been previously forecast, but the government debt figures are getting much worse.
There’s nothing game changing or visionary in this year’s budget. Grant Robertson and Chris Hipkins have taken a scatter gun approach to this year’s new spending. Dobs of cash here, there and everywhere, but no major initiatives that are likely to shift the electoral dial.
The first half of this email lists initiatives the Government wants you (and the media) to focus on. The second part is what we’ve found, and they don’t want you to know.
Here are the things the spin doctors in the Beehive are highlighting:
This is the closest thing this year’s budget has to an electoral sugar hit. For those with young families and working, it’s a boost to get back to work. A less expensive way of bringing down childcare costs would be to bring staff to child ratios in line with other OECD countries.
The Government argues that this will relieve pressure on the health and care system by ensuring more people collect their prescriptions and fewer have to go into hospital.
Children under 13 will get buses, ferries, and trains for free with under 25s getting half-price.
As expected, there is large capital expenditure allocated to Auckland flooding and Cyclone Gabrielle recovery. The Government has also announced a “National Resilience Plan”.
This is a mix of community, Māori, and temporary (cyclone related) housing.
Populist policies such as reducing class sizes haven’t been shown to have much of an impact on attainment and paying teachers more is all well and good is they are high performing, but it means the bad teachers get paid more too.
It is usual in budgets to be crammed full of headline-grabbing gimmicks to oil the political squeaky wheels. This year’s budget is sadly no different:
The Government is expanding the “Warmer Kiwi Homes Programme” to provide 100,000 new heating and insulation installations, 7,500 hot-water heat pumps and 5 million LCD light bulbs. That’s nearly one each!
The Government is picking winners by announcing it’s doing to video games what it does already for international movie studios: Competing against Australia for economically dubious ‘rebate’ subsidies.
Yet again, the Government repeats the claim that increasing the use of electric vehicles “reduces emissions”. Of course, that’s not true. Any decrease in transport emissions are simply made available under our fixed cap emissions trading scheme for other areas to use. These subsides simply make climate change mitigation more expensive that it need be.
As part of Ruth Richardson’s Fiscal Responsibility Act, since 1993 Treasury has been required to prepare independent fiscal and economic forecasts twice a year (and just prior to an election).
So the first thing we do when we get into the Budget lockup is to check the headline forecasts against the half-year update back in December.
The numbers don’t lie
Despite better GDP and employment forecasts, gross debt forecasts are skyrocketing.
The debt figures are starting to look ugly. Grant Robertson’s speech would have you believe that the Government books are rosy. Yes, Treasury are no longer forecasting a recession, and unemployment is now forecast to peak less at 5.3 percent next year (compared to December’s forecast of 5.5 percent), but that makes the debt situation even more questionable.
Back in December, Treasury forecast gross debt to be $193 billion ($98,229 per household) or 39.9% of GDP by 2027. Just six months later, the same officials are now forecasting gross debt to be $214.5 billion ($109,171 per household) or 44.3% of GDP. That is an alarming change for just six months given the economy is not expected to be as bad between now and then.
Do you have a family trust? So much for Chris Hipkins’ ‘no tax hikes’ promise. Tax hikes for 1 April 2024 ⬆️
Yesterday, Mr Hipkins was saying that today’s Budget would not be putting up taxes. Maybe Grant didn’t tell him, but today’s Budget puts up the trust rate from 33 cents in the dollar to 39 cents.
In his comments to media, David Parker tried to frame it in context of his recent ‘Nosey Parker’ report into the country’s uber wealthy. In reality, it will hit SME-business owners who own their family business via a family trust. For the uber wealthy, this change will incentivise keeping capital within companies (which will soon be paying a considerably lower company rate of 28%).
Do you own a car? Tax hikes for you in six weeks’ time 🚗⛽️💸
The Budget locks in tax hikes for motorists. From 1 July, fuel tax will be increasing 29 cents per litre. That will return to a situation where for many (in particular, Aucklanders) pay more than half of the amount paid at the pump will be tax!
And for all the talk of helping those most in need, fuel taxes disproportionately hit the poor (who can’t afford electric vehicles), or live in rural areas.
For all of Grant Robertson’s recent show of promoting himself as some sort of fiscal hawk, the “Savings and Reprioritisation” section of his 154-page Budget Document amounts to half a page – and all of it has already been announced.
And of the $4billion, a big chunk of it (c.$850m) is thanks to efforts of your humble Taxpayers’ Union: the dropping of TVNZ/RNZ merger, and the “re-focusing” (i.e. delaying) of Three Waters. You’re welcome, Mr Robertson!
The Government is making a lot out of the projection that it will return New Zealand to surplus in 2024/25. But the economists we spoke to in the lock up agree that this is very optimistic. It’s forecast to be just a surplus and assumes no more shocks (such as weather events). It also assumed that, like every year’s budget, future governments will spend less on new initiatives going forward. If you believe that, I have a bridge to sell you.
In a few hours, our Chairman (former CEO of the NZ Institute of Economic Research) Laurence Kubiak, and I will be joining Eric Crampton and Oliver Hartwich from the NZ Initiative Think Thank to discuss the Budget and economic data released. To listen in, head over to our Facebook or YouTube page at 7pm.
Until then, we will have our head down continuing to work through the material. Our comments to media on the budget and individual initiatives are linked below.
Thank you for your support. For those interested, you can read the full documentation on the Treasury website here.
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BUDGET 2023 — MEDIA RELEASES:
Two tax hikes and an LED light bulb. Nothing for middle New Zealand in this budget
Exclusively for our supporters like you, here are the results of May's Taxpayers’ Union – Curia Poll:
National drops one point this month to be on 36% but retakes the lead over Labour which falls back three points to 34%. ACT is up three to 13% while the Greens are unchanged on 7%.
Of the smaller parties, the Māori Party is on 3.7% (+0.8 points), NZ First on 2.6% (nc), TOP on 1.7% (+0.9 points), New Conservatives on 1.6% (-0.1 points), and Democracy NZ 0.3% (-1.3 points).’
Here is how these results would translate to seats in the 120 seat Parliament, assuming all electorate seats are held:
Labour is down four seats on last month to 44 while National is down one seat to 46. ACT is up four seats to 16 while the Greens are unchanged on 9 seats. The Māori Party is up one seat to 5.
On these numbers, the Centre-Right bloc would be in a position to form government with a combined total of 62 seats, which is up three on last month. The combined total for the Centre Left drops four seats to 53.
Chris Hipkins's net favourability score of +22% is six points lower than last month and down 11 points on his March peak of +33%.
Christopher Luxon’s score of -7% (-1 point) is at its lowest level since he became National Party leader in November 2021 while David Seymour is on -11% (-5 points).
Chris Hipkins has a slight positive net favourability rating with National voters +7% while Christopher Luxon has a score of -56% with Labour voters.
In another worrying sign for Christopher Luxon, among undecided voters, Chris Hipkins has a positive net favourability of +30% while Christopher Luxon is on -26%. David Seymour is on -32%.
They say ‘less is more’, but the Human Rights Commission (HRC) took it a bit too literally when its website redesign amounted to little more than a change of colour scheme and a new tool to 'help' New Zealanders appreciate the HRC and its work. Our Investigations Co-ordinator, Ollie Bryan, revealed earlier this week that HRC has spent $417,962 on the new site.
One of the few changes is a new tab on their home page called ‘Take a Moment’. We pointed out that all this button did was take you to a plain blue screen and a pulsing HRC logo... and nothing else.
Soon after our story was covered in the media, the HRC quickly updated this page. The page now includes relaxing music, soothing bird song and calming animations. I'm not sure they quite understood the point we were making...
With so many pressing needs in our society – the cost of living, healthcare and education in crisis, and infrastructure falling apart – these sort of vanity projects really make us wonder whether the Human Rights Commission itself needs to 'take a moment'...
With high inflation, bracket creep means that workers' taxes are being hiked without a single vote having been cast in Parliament. If politicians want more of our money, they should have to make the case to Parliament – and the public.
There is a simply solution: Linking the thresholds at which different rates of income tax kick in to inflation.
The Common Room NZ is an excellent resource for those interested in debate, politics, and public policy. This week they feature Jordan who explains the inflation tax, and how to fix it.
A Taxpayers' Union – Curia Poll last month showed that 65% of New Zealanders favoured automatically increasing income tax thresholds in line with inflation as is already the case for welfare benefits. 19% of those polled were against while 17% were unsure.
Many countries already adjust tax brackets for inflation and it is not a difficult policy to implement. Here in New Zealand, there are already inflation adjustments for welfare benefits and superannuation payments. Why should working New Zealanders be punished with stealthy tax hikes when they are not actually earning more?
You can watch Jordan's video here.
Last year, the New Zealand Film Commission sent two employees to Hollywood to attend the Academy Awards in Hollywood. Despite the ceremony only lasting a few hours, the two employees managed to bag themselves a ten-day extended trip. Their extravagant jaunt cost taxpayers like you a staggering $58,000 including more than $5,000 on wine at one event and $1,223 on spirits, beer, wine, and bar snacks at another.
Well, not this year!
It seems our pointing out this waste of taxpayer dollars put the Film Commission off from sending a representative again. A recent Official Information Act response confirmed that your hard-earned money was not squandered on a lavish Hollywood trip this year.
The Taxpayers' Union will continue to hold government departments and agencies like the Film Commission to account on their spending. We’ll be keeping a close eye on whether any New Zealand public servants rock up to the Cannes Film Festival later in the year...
Thank you for your support.
Yours aye,
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Last week, the IRD published its much anticipated report on high net wealth individuals. Their research project looked at the level of tax paid by just over 300 of the wealthiest New Zealanders. They carried out this project thanks to new investigatory powers handed to them by the Government that were snuck through under urgency a couple of years ago.
The report purports to show that these high wealth individuals pay half the level of tax on their income when compared to the average Kiwi. But the way the IRD defines 'income' in this report is very different to how you or I would define it. Most of us would think that this covers our salary and perhaps capital gains from selling an asset.
But the IRD have used the widest possible definition of 'economic income'. It suggests that all capital gains should be included even if they are unrealized. For example, if your house increases in value but you don't sell it, by their logic, you should pay tax on that increase. But you can bet you wouldn't get a rebate if the house price fell. Even more strangely, this measure of income includes things like 'imputed rents'. In other words, if you own a house and live in it, your taxable income should include the rent that you would pay yourself to live in your own home. Keeping up? 👀
Stretching the definition of income this far is what has allowed the report to magic up the figure that high net wealth individuals pay only 9 percent of their income economic income in tax. And in doing so, it has served David Parker's real purpose: To fuel the politics of envy and provide a justification – however misleading – to introduce some kind of capital gains tax or wealth tax.
The Prime Minister is being just as slippery. While he has ruled out such measures for this month's budget and the rest of this 'parliamentary term', his careful choice of words signals that something is on the horizon.
In short, the Government has essentially wasted over $5 million to produce a report that tells us something we already knew: We don't tax capital gains here in New Zealand.
In completely unrelated news, Norway recently increased its wealth tax (applicable to net wealth above NOK 1.7 million – approximately $250,000 NZD) from 1.0 percent to 1.1 percent and has seen an exodus of, well, the wealthy. According to that well known right wing newspaper, The Guardian:
A record number of super-rich Norwegians are abandoning Norway for low-tax countries after the centre-left government increased wealth taxes to 1.1%.
More than 30 Norwegian billionaires and multimillionaires left Norway in 2022, according to research by the newspaper Dagens Naeringsliv. This was more than the total number of super-rich people who left the country during the previous 13 years, it added. Even more super-rich individuals are expected to leave this year because of the increase in wealth tax in November, costing the government tens of millions in lost tax receipts.
That's right: The tax increase has actually resulted in less tax being available for public services. Given that the top 10 percent of New Zealanders already pay half of the total income tax take (not to mention the investment, jobs, and entrepreneurship we all benefit from), a wealth tax right would simply serve to wave goodbye to even more Kiwis across the ditch to Australia.
It seems that some Cabinet Ministers didn't get the memo about 'no new taxes'. Within 12 hours of Chris Hipkins leaving the country for the King's Coronation, Transport Minister Micheal Wood hiked the Ute Tax!
To make matters worse, either Transport Minister, Michael Wood, isn't on speaking terms with the Finance Minister, or Mr. Robertson lied when he said just 12 hours before the Government hiked the Ute Tax that they would not be hiking the Ute Tax... Have a listen:
This tax will now set you back up to $6,900 to buy a new ute or up to $3,500 to buy one second hand. This will hit tradies and farmers hard, particularly those in flood-affected areas like Hawke’s Bay, East Coast, Northland, and the Coromandel. At the very least those needing to replace a ute due to flood damage should be exempted.
This reverse Robin Hood tax sees the money raised on hard-working low- and middle-income Kiwis used to fund subsidies for the wealthy who want to buy the latest Tesla.
And the worst thing is that – for all the virtue signalling – the policy does not actually achieve its own objective of reducing emissions. New Zealand's "cap and trade" Emissions Trading Scheme means that any reduction in transport emissions will simply free up New Zealand Units to be emitted by other sectors. So no net gain for the environment.
We are calling on the Government to scrap this unfair and ineffective tax. We are asking our supporters to register their opposition by signing the petition here.
Taxpayers' Union Board Member and former Minister of Finance, Ruth Richardson, has been doing the media rounds following the publication of the Nosey Parker report and suggesting that Chris Hipkins's 'no frills budget' in two weeks' time might better be described as a 'no solutions budget'.
Ruth spoke with Ryan Bridge on TV Three's AM Show about the hostile economic environment that this Government has created and the excessive levels of state spending. In the On the Tiles podcast with Thomas Coughlan of the NZ Herald she tears into the methodology used by the IRD's research project on high wealth individuals and warns that the report will be used to justify future tax hikes. And she spoke with Heather du Plessis-Allan on Newstalk ZB Drive about the problems that New Zealand has with a lack of earnings and capital, which will just be made even worse by a wealth or capital gains tax.
Taxpayers’ Union recently received a tip off about how much the Ministry of Youth Development was spending on New Zealand’s Youth Parliament. With the honourable exception of Epsom, unlike most parliaments, these ‘representatives’ are not elected, but rather are hand picked by Members of Parliament.
Back in 2013, the cost for a two-day sitting of the Youth Parliament was $90,464.78 or about $112,000 in today’s prices. But 2022’s political shindig cost a whopping $451,500 to cover travel, food, accommodation and photographers.
As a former youth parliamentarian myself, I don’t begrudge a little being spent on engaging young people in our democracy, but a fivefold increase in the costs is simply unnecessary and inexcusable. Sadly it seems that the current model for the Youth Parliament is just as wasteful as the House of Representatives itself.
We previously uncovered spending by the Ministry of Youth Development of almost $300,000 on rather odd anime videos that seemed to have no point to them whatsoever. Given all this wasteful and unnecessary spending, it make you wonder what the point of the Ministry itself is.
If you know of an example of bureaucratic buffoonery from a government agency or council, send us a tip on our confidential tip line here.
Thank you for your support.
Yours aye,
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Media coverage:
Bay of Plenty Times Tauranga, Western Bay, Bay of Plenty regional councils’ spending on consultants revealed
Interest.co.nz Revenue Minister David Parker says IRD survey showing wealthy kiwis pay significantly lower tax rate than middle-income families will enable future discussions on tax policy to be based on solid evidence
NZ Local Government Magazine Views on revamped three waters reform
Newstalk ZB Barry Soper on the new IRD data revealing how much tax the wealthiest Kiwis pay
SunLive Super-wealthy: Reports show large tax gap in NZ
RNZ Revenue Minister on report that found richest paying half as much tax as average New Zealander
NZ Herald Election 2023: How National, Labour placed to fight cost-of-living election, the Chris Luxon and Chris Hipkins battle and the voters they think will decide it
Newshub Ruth Richardson, Finance Minister behind infamous 'Mother of all Budgets', not convinced Govt can rein in spending
Kiwiblog Revealed: Who funds the Taxpayers’ Union
Southland Times CEO cops flack for 'airing his dirty laundry' in conflict with Gore mayor Ben Bell
NZ Herald On the Tiles: Ruth Richardson on fiscal, monetary and tax policies
Stuff Who should pay for local body politicians' parliamentary aspirations?
Newstalk ZB Former Finance Minister predicts Labour's no-frills budget will present no solutions
The Working Group with Matt McCarten, Jordan Williams and Mike Treen
After almost six months’ worth of excuses, transfers and extensions on an Official Information Act request sent back in November, your humble Taxpayers' Union has revealed that taxpayers and Otago ratepayers have forked out more than $2.76 million and employed over 26,000 hours of work to 'destroy' (that’s the term the bureaucrats use) just… 18 wallabies! That's a kill cost of $153,000 per wallaby.
This was just one of the ‘Jobs for Nature’ projects funded by the COVID slush fund. Jobs for Nature was allocated $1.2 billion – that's $614 for every kiwi household – as a ‘make work’ scheme when the Government feared we would see mass job losses as a result of the pandemic.
Despite record-low unemployment and an economy overcooked by Government spending, the fund has continued to dish out taxpayer money to ineffective ‘conservation’ projects at an average cost of around $200,000 per 'nature job'.
There is still $167 million yet to be spent: We say this should stop.
Jordan spoke about this wasteful spending with Newstalk ZB’s Heather Du Plessis-Allan.
The story was also covered in the Otago Daily Times and Stuff’s Dominion Post.
John Walsh of Biosecurity New Zealand (the government agency responsible for this project) defended the spending arguing “it’s not wasted money”. Walsh was quoted in Stuff newspapers as saying the kill count no way represented “all the wallabies killed by the programme” and due to wallabies’ nocturnal nature and the remote landscapes, aerial drops were often the best method of killing.
We called out these misleading comments pointing to the official information response provided by his agency that showed that no aerial drops were actually used in Otago...
It is clear that this project, alongside many others supported through the Jobs for Nature fund, have no ambition in delivering meaningful outcomes for New Zealand's environment on a restrained budget.
This is just our second investigation into this enormous fund. This is just the tip of the iceberg for a much greater raft of unnecessary waste...
Writing in the New Zealand Herald, I looked at the system of "co-government" in Northern Ireland and considered the parallels with some of the recent proposals here in New Zealand. Three Waters, the proposed Resource Management Act replacement, and the Government's so-called 'Review into the Future for Local Government' all reserve places on governance bodies for unelected mana whenua representatives.
There are two major problems with co-government models. First, is the creation of veto power. Where one community can block a proposal – even if it has majority support – simply because it disagrees with it. This veto power means that Northern Ireland is currently without a government and it is almost impossible to get anything done.
Secondly, there is the problem of disconnecting decision making from democratic accountability. By reserving spaces on governing bodies for certain groups, it means that, however they might vote in elections, people are not always able to effect meaningful change as the people making the decisions remain the same no matter how much voters disagree with their policies.
The lesson from Northern Ireland is, however well-intentioned, co-government rarely works in practice. It can bring government to a standstill, undermines democratic accountability, and often exacerbates the divisions it is designed to heal. If New Zealand wants to avoid similar paralysis, it should think twice before embarking on this path.
You can read my full piece over on the NZ Herald's website here.
A Taxpayers’ Union investigation revealed that several councils are forking out millions of ratepayer dollars to subsidise a private airline and the wealthy individuals using it.
Across Kapiti Coast, Whakatane and Whanganui, ratepayers have been forced to foot the bill for more than $2 million in corporate welfare – benefiting only a tiny number of ratepayers who use the services. Since 2018, Air Chathams has been given almost $1 million dollars by Kāpiti Coast District Council along with a $500,000 interest-free loan. Whanganui and Whakatane district councils also coughed up hundreds of thousands of dollars in loans bringing the total value of welfare to more than $2 million.
Kāpiti Coast airport would need to see a 1,500 per cent increase in passengers in order for it to be financially viable, something even its own Chief Executive recognised.
In a blog post this week, one of our young interns, Alex Murphy, criticised the Council's decision to fund these unsustainable routes. You can read the full post here.
Like many, we've been following the events in Gore where the country's youngest Mayor has had a 'relationship breakdown' with the Council's CEO.
While it is difficult to know exactly what is going on at the Council, we've been astonished by the willingness of the CEO – an unelected bureaucrat – to air his dirty laundry in public by speaking to multiple media organizations. The role of public servants is to serve the public by implementing the policies of their democratically elected representatives – not obstruct them and then bad mouth them in public.
Newsroom have just published a good summary of events and picked up my comments:
More power to the people
Taxpayers’ Union Campaign Manager Callum Purves says the Taxpayers’ Union wants to see an option of recall elections introduced so that, if people are unhappy with the performance of a mayor or councillors that there is a mechanism by which they can resolve it without having to look at something like commissioners or some external influence.
And if conflict between a council chief executive or local body politician is unable to be resolved the Taxpayers’ Union is quite clear who should resign.
“Ultimately in a democracy if there is also a conflict between elected representative and officials, so in this case we have a conflict between the mayor and the chief executive, that we are strongly of the view that the elected representative is the one that stays if there is a choice,” says Purves.
This week on Taxpayer Talk, I sit down with ACT Party MP, Simon Court, to discuss the recent Three Waters rebrand, the proposed resource management reforms and what ACT is proposing to solve New Zealand's significant infrastructure and planning problems.
Simon Court is ACT's spokesperson for infrastructure, the environment and local government and has been leading their response to the contentious Three Waters and RMA reforms. Prior to becoming an MP, Simon was a civil and environmental engineer working both in the private sector and for local government. Simon believes that local control, strong private property rights and the right incentives for councils to make good decisions will be what leads to solving some of our biggest problems going forward.
Later in the podcast, for our War on Waste segment, Taxpayers’ Union Deputy Campaigns Manager, Connor Molloy, reveals a 19-month long investigation into the Government’s decision to give millions of taxpayer dollars to a gang-affiliated meth rehabilitation program and the bureaucratic process of simply getting straight answers from officials.
Listen to the episode | Apple | Spotify | Google Podcasts | iHeart Radio
We’re proud to be a truly people-powered organisation, and it will only be through the generosity of thousands of supporters like you chipping in what you can that we’ll be able to keep up our work promoting our mission of Lower Taxes, Less Waste, and More Accountability.
If you can, please click the button below to make a donation today so we can keep growing our movement, and fighting for a better deal from Wellington (and town halls!).
Thank you for your support.
Yours aye,
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Media coverage:
Newstalk ZB Midday Edition: 04 April 2023 – Lobbying Review (02:05)
NZ Herald Bryce Ewards: Victory for transparency in lobbying reforms
The Northern Advocate Future of Kerikeri’s Turner Centre up in air as council mulls ownership
Stuff Air Chathams received more than $1 million from Kāpiti Coast council
NZ Herald Māori holds balance of power in new poll
The Time Online NEW POLL: Māori Party holds the balance of power
NZ City Another poll points to Te Pati Maori holding the keys to Parliament at this year's election
Te Ao Māori News Te Pāti Māori 'kingmakers' in latest political poll
Newstalk ZB Morning Edition: 09 April 2023 – New Poll (00:38)
Newstalk ZB "We're very clear on our priorities": Deputy PM on Labour's plan for re-election
Newstalk ZB "We've got a fantastic future ahead of us": National's Chris Luxon shares six-month plan for election
Newstalk ZB Politics Central: Will staff misconduct derail Chris Hipkins' chances for re-election? (15:40)
Waatea News Te Pāti Māori Kingmakers must have immediate bottom lines for every New Zealander
Newstalk ZB Auckland Transport's new CEO plans to increase public transport use by 20 percent
The Spinoff The edge of a knife, six months to voting day
The Working Group with Shane Te Pou, Matthew Hooton & Damien Grant
NZ Herald A lesson in co-governance from Northern Ireland – Callum Purves
Kapiti Observer Revamped Three Waters to create 10 water management entities in an effort to give local governments more influence over massive infrastructure upgrades
NZ Herald Frontline police told to ‘consider necessity’ of bail arrests as NZ’s largest prison nears capacity
Q+A “Nobody died because of lack of empathy”: Auckland mayor Wayne Brown (18:44)
Newstalk ZB Taxpayers' Union Executive Director 'astounded' by $2.7 million cost to eradicate 18 wallabies
Stuff Govt officials stand by $2.76m wallaby spend in Otago for 18 kills - 'It's not wasted money'
Otago Daily Times MPI defends $2.76m cost of Otago wallaby control
Stuff Ruth Richardson: The taxation problem I should have fixed 33 years ago
Wairarapa Times-Age Carterton’s rates are on the rise
Newsroom Gore council war could outlast inquiry
Newsroom Kawerau leads small councils’ fight against new amalgamations
Available exclusively to supporters like you, we can reveal the results of our April Taxpayers' Union – Curia poll.
Labour is up one point to 37% and National is up two points to 37%. ACT is up one point to 10% while the Greens are also up one point to 7%.
The smaller parties were Māori Party 2.9% (+1.5 points), NZ First on 2.6% (-1.6 points), New Conservatives on 1.7% (-0.8 points), Democracy NZ 1.6% (+1.1 points), and TOP on 0.8% (-0.9 points).
Here is how these results would translate to seats in Parliament, assuming all electorate seats are held:
Both Labour and National are down one seat each to 48 and 47, respectively. ACT is also down one seat to 12 while the Greens are up one on nine seats. The Māori Party is up two seats to four.
The combined projected seats for the Centre-Right of 59 seats is down two on last month but remains marginally ahead of the combined total for the Centre-Left of 57 seats (no change).
For the first time since August 2022, the Centre-Right cannot form government on its own and neither bloc has a majority. This means that the Māori Party holds the balance of power.
Chris Hipkins has a net favourability of +28% (-5 points). Both Christopher Luxon (-4 points) and David Seymour are on -6% (-7 points).
Finance Minister, Grant Robertson, has a net favourability of -8% while Environment Minister, David Parker, has a net favourability of -21%.
Chris Hipkins also now has a negative net favourability rating with National voters of -5% down 18 points from +13% last month.
Visit our website for more information and details of how to get access to the full polling report.
You may not have heard about the Government’s latest power-grab: It has hardly been covered in the media, but it poses a significant threat to the rule of law and democracy. The Government has seized the opportunity of the recent cyclone devastation to grant its Ministers extensive powers, many of which are unrelated to cyclone response or recovery and could remain in place until 2028.
The Severe Weather Emergency Recovery Act allows Ministers to sweep aside and rewrite a whole laundry list of laws if they can point to even tentative links to the recent weather events, economic development, or disaster recovery. The 'emergency legislation' allows individual ministers to ignore or change the Local Government Act, Resource Management Act, Immigration Act, Land Transport Act (and others) without having to even ask Parliament. What's worse is this 'emergency' regime applies until 2028!
This kind of law is often referred to as Henry VIII powers because it is similar to the autocratic lawmaking style of Henry VIII who preferred to make laws by Royal Proclamation rather than through Parliament.
Submitters on this new legislation were given less than a day to write their submissions. Not even the most experienced constitutional law experts were able to apply proper scrutiny in this short timeframe and many important aspects will be overlooked.
Our friends at the New Zealand Initiative think tank have rightly criticised MPs for a "shamblolic" process despite the extraordinary scope of the bill. You can listen to the NZ Initiative's Executive Director Oliver Hartwich talking to Mike Hosking here.
As Oliver puts it, “This is the kind of Bill that requires great scrutiny because the power it confers to the Government are enormous.” To give submitters a matter of hours to consider the Bill is, frankly, a disgrace. It is not an exaggeration to say that both this law and the process used to pass it are totally inconsistent with liberal democracy.
Despite following Parliament closely, the first we heard about the Bill was just two hours before written submissions closed! We hastily put together a submission – which you can read here – but it was difficult to make substantive recommendations on this far reaching bill in such a short space of time.
Jordan made our views clear to the Select Committee in an oral submission, but less than a week later Labour has rushed this legislation through all its stages in Parliament with the extremely disappointing support of the National Party. To their credit, ACT, the Greens and the Māori Party all opposed this blatant power grab.
While we all want to see the areas affected given by the floods given the support they need – and quickly – it is not acceptable to use this crisis to undermine parliamentary democracy and give ministers unprecedented levels of executive power. We only need to look at the COVID-19 slush fund where ministers spent taxpayer dollars on projects totally unrelated to the pandemic to see how such powers can be abused.
The Taxpayers' Union will be monitoring decisions taken under this legislation very closely and urge the Government – and the National Party – to allow an immediate post-legislative review of this new law with proper public consultation.
Following the sacking of Stuart Nash from his remaining ministerial portfolios after it was revealed he had given confidential cabinet information to Labour Party donors, the Prime Minister announced a review into the lobbying sector.
In a democracy, it is important that different groups can make representations to politicians to help shape policy, but these activities also need to be carried out in an open and transparent manner. The Taxpayers' Union will engage with any consultation on how best to strike this balance.
One of the biggest problems is the revolving door between the Beehive and the lobbying sector. Kris Faafoi, for example, was able to lobby his former ministerial colleagues just months after leaving Cabinet. We urgently need to see a cooling-off period introduced to put an end to these murky practices.
But Chris Hipkins's announcement of money for a voluntary code of conduct is not the answer. In fact, it's a complete waste of taxpayer money (he is offering up officials to "help" the lobbying sector) and simply a way for the government to look like it is doing something. Taxpayers should not be footing the bill for an unenforceable attempt to get commercial lobbyists to play by rules they set themselves.
The Stuart Nash saga has also renewed calls for a review into the Official Information Act (OIA). As New Zealand's largest user of the OIA, the Taxpayers' Union agrees. A review is long overdue, but the focus should not just be on the Beehive: The Parliamentary Service is explicitly excluded from the from the OIA.
This means that the public has no way of knowing what its elected representatives are claiming taxpayer funds to cover. We know that some are MPs are already spending taxpayer money in ways that are potentially inappropriate but have no real way to get more information because of this exclusion.
For a country that considers itself to have one of the most open governments in the world, MPs’ taxpayer-funded expenses are surprisingly opaque compared to countries we traditionally compare ourselves to.
The Taxpayers’ Union wants to see an end to this transparency carve out. We would also support the introduction of a searchable database of every MP expense claim similar to that published by the Independent Parliamentary Standards Authority in the United Kingdom.
This week on Taxpayer Talk, I sit down with Wellington City Councillor, Ray Chung, to discuss Wellington’s shocking 12.3% rates rise and why this is being driven by inefficient, wasteful spending at the Council.
Councillor Chung was elected just last year as the representative for Wharangi / Onslow-Western Ward. He's one of the few fiscal conservatives on the Council and is able to provide some interesting insight into its inner workings and explains why it is so hard – and expensive – to get anything done. We also get to hear why Councillor Chung is a vocal opponent of Three Waters and co-governance along with discussing potential solutions for the Council's severe infrastructure deficit.
Later in the podcast, for our War on Waste segment, Taxpayers’ Union Deputy Campaigns Manager, Connor Molloy, analyses the growth of managers in the public service and investigates whether the growth in the public service is driven by the core frontline workforce or simply a ballooning of the backroom bureaucracy of managers and consultants.
Listen to the episode | Apple | Spotify | Google Podcasts | iHeart Radio
Thank you for your support.
Yours aye,
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Media coverage:
RNZ The Pre-Panel with Julie Woods and David Farrar
Newstalk ZB The Huddle: Is the Chris Hipkins honeymoon already over?
NZ Herald Political Roundup: Victory for transparency in lobbying reforms
Newstalk ZB Midday Edition: 04 April 2023 – Lobbying Review (02:05)
While the Government has denied for years that Wellington's 'head offices' are getting bloated, your humble Taxpayers' Union has exposed that public sector managers have been growing at nearly twice the rate of frontline workers since the current Government came to power.
Since 2017, the frontline workforce for social services, health, and education has increased by 24.6% with nurse numbers up only 18.3% while doctors are up only 19.2%. In the same period, however, the number of managers rocketed up by a staggering 43.4%. Who exactly are these people managing?
In case you missed it, Mike Hosking highlighted this huge discrepancy and also grilled Minister Michael Wood about what is going on.
The Government crows about its significant 'investment' in social services, health, and education. In reality, the Government is taxing households more and more to spend on bureaucratic jobs for Wellington’s managerial class that provide little value for the taxpayer.
They can't blame the growth in the public sector during COVID for this one: The trend has been clear since 2017. While the focus on the exorbitant consultant bill in the past few weeks is welcome, politicians also need to take a closer look at our bloated public sector and significantly cut back on unnecessary managerial positions.
This week the Ministry for the Environment announced a review into New Zealand's Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS). The review will consider how the ETS should be changed to reflect the Government's priority of reducing gross carbon emissions over net emissions.
You will recall that the ETS works by setting a cap on the total amount of net carbon emissions across New Zealand each year. Emitters, such as fuel companies, or electricity suppliers, buy 'units' in an auction that allows them to emit a unit of carbon (or equivalent) and the amount they pay is reflected in the price you pay for goods and services. The cap then reduces over time, the market price changes, and overall emissions are brought down.
We prefer this system over politicians trying to 'pick winners' and inject subsidies into 'emissions reduction', as the market tends to find the most efficient and cost effective way for New Zealand to achieve its international obligations. Those sectors that can reduce emissions more quickly and cheaply can sell units to those sectors who might find it more difficult. The system also allows companies to offset their emissions through activities that take carbon out of the atmosphere.
Sadly though, politicians cannot help tinkering with the system because it does not fit with the Government's ideology of how climate change should be addressed. For example, it wants to see a rapid shift away from cars to public transport, walking, cycling and electric cars.
But this approach is illogical and ill-informed. While it might make the Government look like it's doing something, it doesn't actually tackle climate change as it doesn't reduce net emissions – less transport emissions simply means more units are available under the ETS to make it cheaper for other sectors to emit. This is called the 'waterbed effect'.
If the Government is really serious about protecting the planet, it should let the ETS get on and do its job.
Last week, we published a new report by our Research Fellow and Wellington economist, Jim Rose, on Auckland’s City Rail Link. The City Rail Link: A Great Big Sucking Sound for Taxpayer and Auckland Ratepayer Dollars is the first in-depth analysis of the bad decision-making that led to a 61% cost blowout.
The report argues that key decisions made by the Government and Auckland Council were based on a flawed business case. A combination of factors such as the increase in costs, the failure to include $6.7 billion in required upgrades to the existing rail network, and the 30-40% drop off in rail passengers post-COVID means that the costs of this project now significantly outweigh its benefits.
Just a few weeks ago, it was revealed that the project's cost had gone up by a further $1 billion. We sent a short briefing paper of the report's key findings to the Auckland mayor and councillors ahead of their meeting to discuss the increase in costs. Despite the public interest, and alarming numbers, the Council decided to hold the meeting behind closed doors so ratepayers are none the wiser as to what was discussed or decided.
With the announcement this week of plans to "bring forward" a second Auckland Harbour crossing, the Government and Auckland Council need to learn serious lessons from this project's failings – we cannot afford the same mistakes to be made. The planners at Auckland Transport who dreamt up the City Rail Link shouldn’t be let anywhere near the public purse again.
This week, Green MP Eugenie Sage who chairs the Environment Select Committee raised concerns about the Government's plans to railroad through radical changes to the Resource Management Act before October's election. She rightly said that the bill will require lots of changes and that there is too much work to do before the election.
Despite now losing the support of the Greens, David Parker is still planning to plough on. He even went as far to say "I trust my own political instincts here." That's a rather bold statement for the man who proposed changes to taxation on KiwiSaver fees only to U-turn within the space of 24 hours.
But Labour still has a majority in Parliament and can ram things through Parliament if it wants to. That's why it's important that opposition parties pledge to repeal these bills should they become law. While ACT has set out a comprehensive alternative to the RMA, National has hinted that if Labour manages to get the reforms through before the election, it may seek to amend rather than repeal the legislation. We say this isn't good enough.
Stay tuned for the launch of our campaign against these reforms...
Thank you for your support.
Yours aye,
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Media coverage:
NZ Herald Cost-of-living moves poorly targeted, says report
Newstalk ZB Jordan Williams: Taxpayer's Union Executive Director says Auckland Transport is focusing on the wrong things
InfraNews Call for independent review into Auckland supercity amalgamation
Newstalk ZB THE RE-WRAP: Just the Facts, Ma'am (09:04)
Newstalk ZB Pollies: MPs Mark Mitchell and Michael Wood on National polling, crime and Police (08:26)
Newstalk ZB RMA war heading towards final battle
Democracy Project Bryce Edwards: The Beehive’s revolving door and corporate mateship
Interest.co.nz Government review of the Emissions Trading Scheme will look for ways to incentivise more reductions and less carbon offsets
Newstalk ZB Heather du Plessis-Allan: Auckland Council booting Local Government NZ is a warning to Kieran McAnulty
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